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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 247.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brock Purdy's 264.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a a material gain in his passing talent over last season's 151.0 figure.
  • Brock Purdy's 73.1% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a a meaningful growth in his throwing accuracy over last season's 66.4% mark.
  • Brock Purdy's pass-game effectiveness has improved this season, totaling 9.44 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.97 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
  • The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to attempt 32.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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