Brock Purdy Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 262.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 269.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 262.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
Brock Purdy's 267.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year conveys a material gain in his throwing proficiency over last year's 151.0 rate.
Brock Purdy's 71.4% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a substantial improvement in his passing precision over last season's 66.4% mark.
Brock Purdy's throwing efficiency has improved this season, accumulating 9.65 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.97 mark last season.
This year, the deficient Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a staggering 255.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 10th-worst in football.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the 49ers being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 50.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have only 125.9 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The projections expect Brock Purdy to attempt 30.4 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.

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