Brock Purdy Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (-121/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brock Purdy has been among the most accurate passers in football since the start of last season with an impressive 66.5% Completion%, ranking in the 77th percentile.
Brock Purdy has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 7.98 yards-per-target while checking in at the 85th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has displayed poor efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 7.97 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Brock Purdy has attempted a mere 19.4 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile among QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
Brock Purdy has been among the weakest quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging 151.0 yards per game while checking in at the 14th percentile.

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