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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 11.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a massive favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 51.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are projected by the predictive model to call only 60.2 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 49ers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.0 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Brock Purdy to attempt 29.6 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.

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