Brock Purdy Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Pass Attempts

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 29, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Brock Purdy Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 11.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a massive favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 51.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are projected by the predictive model to call only 60.2 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
The 49ers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.0 plays per game.
The projections expect Brock Purdy to attempt 29.6 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.

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