Brock Purdy Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Interceptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 20, 2024 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Brock Purdy Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs have intercepted 0.39 targets per game this year, ranking as the 10th-worst defense in the NFL by this stat

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.
The model projects Brock Purdy to throw 32.4 passes this week, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all QBs.
The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 5th-best collection of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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