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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Carries
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-161/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 48.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Brock Purdy has been much less involved in his team's ground game this season (8.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.4%).
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's DE corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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