Brock Purdy Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 31, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

After accounting for 6.9% of his offense's carries last year, Brock Purdy has been more involved in the running game this year, currently sitting at 15.3%.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 42.1% of their plays: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

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