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Brian Thomas Jr.

Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • When it comes to safeties getting after the quarterback, Buffalo's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.

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