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Brian Thomas Jr.

Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 59.8% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.8%) to WRs this year (62.8%).

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