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Brian Thomas Jr.

Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • This year, the deficient Indianapolis Colts defense has been torched for a colossal 177.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the worst in the NFL.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has displayed poor efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, giving up 8.58 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Jaguars are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

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