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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Brian Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+500/-680).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -930 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -680.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be rolling out backup QB Mac Jones this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to pass on 62.2% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a feeble 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Brian Robinson places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the lowest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

Brian Robinson's 2.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 8.4.

Brian Robinson grades out in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

This year, the fierce Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a meager 0.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing running backs: the lowest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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