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Brian Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Brian Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-470).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +440 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +365.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

While Brian Robinson has earned 40.6% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of San Francisco's run game near the end zone in this game at 17.9%.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season (74.4% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Right now, the 10th-most run-focused team in the league in the red zone (45.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the San Francisco 49ers.

With a meager 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Brian Robinson places as one of the pass-game running backs with the smallest workloads near the goal line in the league.

When talking about air yards, Brian Robinson ranks in the paltry 15th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -2.0 per game.

Brian Robinson does not have any receiving touchdowns since the start of last season.

More Brian Robinson Player Props

Brian Robinson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Brian Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3