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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+550/-820).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +650 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • This year, the fierce Seattle Seahawks run defense has surrendered a puny 0.56 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Brian Robinson's 3.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks among the worst in the NFL: 19th percentile for running backs.
  • Brian Robinson's 64.5% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a meaningful regression in his receiving talent over last year's 83.5% figure.
  • This year, Brian Robinson has not caught any receiving TDs this year.

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