reorder

Brian Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Brian Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+420/-495).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -465 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -495.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

This year, the weak Chicago Bears defense has conceded a colossal 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

This year, the weak Bears defense has yielded a staggering 0.20 TDs through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

Brian Robinson rates in just the 20th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with an unimpressive 3.6 mark this year.

Brian Robinson's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 83.5% to 60.9%.

More Brian Robinson Player Props

Brian Robinson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Brian Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17