My Account Log Out
 
 
Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-360).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +310 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +275.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the shaky Titans defense has been torched for a colossal 74.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's DE corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Brian Robinson's 3.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the league: 23rd percentile for RBs.
  • Brian Robinson's 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 83.3% rate.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™