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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+445/-490).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -490 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -490.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • The Arizona defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Brian Robinson's 3.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 8.4.
  • The San Francisco O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Brian Robinson ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 9th-most touchdowns in the league (1.00 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

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