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Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-109/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

With a fantastic record of 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), Brian Robinson places as one of the top running backs in the NFL since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the stout Cardinals run defense has allowed a mere 4.66 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 24th-lowest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The model projects Brian Robinson to be much less involved in his team's run game in this contest (26.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (44.5% in games he has played).

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Arizona's collection of DTs has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.

More Brian Robinson Player Props

Brian Robinson Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3