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Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 48.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week.With an impressive record of 3.28 yards after contact (75th percentile), Brian Robinson has been among the most formidable running backs in the league this year.This year, the imposing Tennessee Titans run defense has surrendered a measly 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 26th-smallest rate in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.After comprising 47.2% of his team's carries last season, Brian Robinson has had a smaller role in the run game this season, currently comprising only 18.9%.Brian Robinson has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's DE corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.
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