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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.44 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
  • The leading projections forecast Brian Robinson to garner 14.1 carries in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Out of all RBs, Brian Robinson ranks in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 61.1% of the workload in his team's running game.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Seattle's safety corps has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 35.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The Washington O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.
  • Brian Robinson's 48.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a substantial reduction in his running skills over last year's 63.0 figure.

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