Brian Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-142/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 81.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders have been the 6th-most run-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 44.5% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.42 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to garner 19.1 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (66.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.3% in games he has played).
Brian Robinson has averaged 63.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (88th percentile).

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Brian Robinson's rushing effectiveness (3.82 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (13th percentile among running backs).
Brian Robinson has been among the bottom running backs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.61 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 19th percentile.

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