Brian Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to total 15.1 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Brian Robinson has garnered 52.0% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Brian Robinson has averaged 60.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (83rd percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
Brian Robinson's rushing efficiency (3.70 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (13th percentile among RBs).
Brian Robinson has been among the worst running backs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.59 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 11th percentile.
The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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