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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Arizona's group of DEs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Brian Robinson's 10.1% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his pass attack utilization over last season's 34.6% mark.
  • The San Francisco O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Brian Robinson ranks as one of the worst pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a mere 0.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 18th percentile among running backs.

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