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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • With a terrific 7.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Brian Robinson ranks as one of the top pass-catching running backs in the NFL in the open field.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Brian Robinson's 10.1% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his pass attack utilization over last season's 34.6% mark.
  • The San Francisco O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Brian Robinson has accumulated many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (2.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).
  • Brian Robinson's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a mere 2.48 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.72 figure last year.

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