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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be rolling out backup QB Mac Jones this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 37.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • After comprising 47.2% of his offense's run game usage last year, Brian Robinson has been less involved in the run game this year, now accounting for just 22.0%.

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