Brian Hoyer TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Brian Hoyer

NFL · Player Props

Brian Hoyer

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Brian Hoyer TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Chicago Bears defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
This year, the weak Bears defense has been gouged for a monstrous 75.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.
The Chicago Bears defense has conceded the 2nd-most TDs through the air in the league: 2.17 per game this year.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 54.2 plays per game.
In this game, Brian Hoyer is forecasted by the model to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.1.

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