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Brevin Jordan

Brevin Jordan Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

Brevin Jordan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+195).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +195.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 132.0 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The Texans have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

The Chicago Bears defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.

Brevin Jordan grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, hauling in an outstanding 81.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

The Bears pass defense has been torched for the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.9%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (75.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal game plan.

The Texans rank as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 52.1% pass rate.

The Bears linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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