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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-420).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -485 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -420.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 59.8% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • Brenton Strange has posted many more air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 51.8% rate of running the ball near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league against the Broncos defense this year (65.4% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Denver defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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