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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+315/-395).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -425 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -395.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Colts defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Brenton Strange to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone this week (13.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).
  • Brenton Strange has posted significantly more air yards this year (43.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).
  • Brenton Strange's 37.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 21.9.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.8% red zone run rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

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