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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-430).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -410 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -430.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • The model projects Brenton Strange to be much more involved in his offense's passing game near the end zone in this week's contest (12.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played).
  • After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last year, Brenton Strange has made big progress this year, now pacing 39.0 per game.
  • Brenton Strange's 36.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 21.9.
  • Brenton Strange's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 73.7% to 85.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

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