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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • This week, Brenton Strange is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 5.9 targets.
  • Brenton Strange's 17.4% Target% this year shows a noteworthy improvement in his pass attack volume over last year's 10.5% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 8th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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