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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-156/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (61.9% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Colts defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Brenton Strange to earn 5.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Brenton Strange's 37.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 21.9.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

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