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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • The model projects Brenton Strange to accumulate 4.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Brenton Strange has been a more important option in his offense's passing game this season (17.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (10.5%).
  • Brenton Strange grades out as one of the best pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an outstanding 3.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
  • Brenton Strange's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 73.7% to 85.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 7th-best unit in football this year when it comes to pass rush.

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