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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars offensive strategy to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays.
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Brenton Strange has run fewer routes this season (75.2% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (45.2%).
  • In this game, Brenton Strange is anticipated by the projections to place in the 84th percentile among tight ends with 5.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars since the start of last season (a lowly 55.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Brenton Strange's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a significant decrease in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.6% mark.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable San Francisco 49ers defense has given up a meager 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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