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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Liam Coen, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 3.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 129.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • In this week's game, Brenton Strange is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.7 targets.
  • When it comes to air yards, Brenton Strange ranks in the towering 80th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 25.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.4%) to TEs since the start of last season (68.4%).

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