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Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Brenton Strange Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • Brenton Strange has been less involved as a potential target this year (73.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.2%).
  • In this week's contest, Brenton Strange is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 87th percentile among tight ends with 5.4 targets.
  • Brenton Strange has compiled far more air yards this season (38.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • Brenton Strange's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.58 figure last year.
  • This year, the strong Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a measly 33.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the best in the league.
  • The Bills pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67%) vs. tight ends this year (67.0%).

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