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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Breece Hall Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+154/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +166 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.
  • When talking about air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the towering 99th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a superb 12.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • Breece Hall's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 76.6% to 84.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • While Breece Hall has been responsible for 23.5% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in New York's run game near the goal line in this game at 51.3%.
  • While Breece Hall has been responsible for 21.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in New York's pass game near the goal line in this week's game at 15.1%.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Breece Hall grades out in the 1st percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.

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