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Breece Hall Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +194 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Brady Cook.

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 135.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

The Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.2 per game) this year.

With a remarkable 13.6% Red Zone Target% (90th percentile) this year, Breece Hall rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the least pass-heavy team in the league (54.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jets.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

While Breece Hall has garnered 47.8% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New York's ground game near the end zone in this week's game at 72.8%.

This year, the daunting Jaguars defense has conceded a feeble 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.

The Jaguars linebackers rank as the best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Breece Hall Player Props

Breece Hall TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15