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Breece Hall Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Breece Hall Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+104/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jets.

When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the towering 95th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a colossal 5.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

Breece Hall's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) grades out among the league leaders: 91st percentile for RBs.

Breece Hall's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 76.6% to 91.0%.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (77.0% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.

While Breece Hall has received 45.5% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New York's ground game near the goal line this week at 69.6%.

This year, the fierce Dolphins defense has allowed a meager 0.08 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 5th-best rate in football.

More Breece Hall Player Props

Breece Hall TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Breece Hall Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14