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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Breece Hall Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+142/-168).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -168.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • Breece Hall has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.9% this year, which ranks in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • Breece Hall has accumulated a massive 5.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not seem like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Breece Hall's 90.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a material improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 76.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Falcons defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • While Breece Hall has received 43.2% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New York's rushing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 66.7%.
  • The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Atlanta defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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