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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-116/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jets offense to skew 10.6% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 49.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to total 14.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Miami's DE corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets will be rolling out backup quarterback Justin Fields in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see just 123.6 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the New York Jets since the start of last season (just 55.4 per game on average).
  • After accounting for 63.6% of his team's run game usage last season, Breece Hall has been called on less the running game this season, now accounting for only 48.1%.
  • Breece Hall's 35.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a material diminishment in his running prowess over last season's 51.0 mark.

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