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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 13.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 6th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Breece Hall is projected by the projection model to slot into the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.3 carries.
  • Breece Hall has generated 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to RBs (78th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Jets are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 121.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).
  • Breece Hall has been much less involved in his offense's running game this year (50.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (63.6%).

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