Breece Hall Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's contest, Breece Hall is projected by the model to rank in the 84th percentile among RBs with 15.9 carries.
Breece Hall has grinded out 50.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in football among RBs (76th percentile).

Favors Under

The projections expect the Jets to be the 8th-least run-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 37.5% run rate.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Breece Hall's 76.0% Snap% this year illustrates an impressive growth in his offensive utilization over last year's 55.3% figure.
Breece Hall's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 3.60 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.39 rate last season.
This year, the stout Texans run defense has conceded a measly 112.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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