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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to garner 17.9 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

This year, the anemic New England Patriots run defense has surrendered a massive 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-most in the league.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, New England's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 3rd-least run-centric team in the league (35.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Jets.

The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Breece Hall's 76.3% snap rate this season signifies an impressive improvement in his offensive usage over last season's 55.3% rate.

Breece Hall has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).

Breece Hall's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 3.45 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.39 mark last year.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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