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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Breece Hall to earn 4.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Breece Hall's 84.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a material improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 76.6% rate.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 123.8 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Breece Hall's 44.1% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a remarkable drop-off in his passing game volume over last year's 60.6% figure.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

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