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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-104/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accumulate 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Breece Hall rates in the 97th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 21.6 figure since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Breece Hall rates as one of the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Jets offensive blueprint to lean 9.7% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jets as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • With a poor 77.3% Adjusted Completion% (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall has been among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs.

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