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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-149/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to earn 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Breece Hall's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 76.6% to 91.0%.
  • This year, the deficient Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up a colossal 90.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-biggest rate in football.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Miami's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Breece Hall's 44.5% Route% this season conveys a noteable decline in his passing offense workload over last season's 60.6% rate.
  • Breece Hall's pass-catching performance tailed off this season, compiling a mere 2.3 adjusted receptions vs 3.6 last season.

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