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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -164.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a massive 14-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 128.2 offensive plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Breece Hall to total 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Breece Hall's 88.8% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a substantial progression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 76.7% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (57.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.
  • Breece Hall has been less involved as a potential target this year (42.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (60.6%).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Jets grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
  • Breece Hall's pass-catching performance declined this year, totaling a measly 2.2 adjusted receptions compared to 3.6 last year.
  • The Ravens pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (75.6%) versus running backs this year (75.6%).

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