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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-167/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -3-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects Breece Hall to total 4.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

Breece Hall has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 14.0% last year, which places him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Jets profiles as the 8th-best in football last year.

Breece Hall comes in as one of the leading pass-game RBs last year, averaging a terrific 3.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Jets last year (a mere 55.7 per game on average).

Breece Hall grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, catching a measly 76.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 14th percentile.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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