Breece Hall Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receptions

New York Giants vs New York Jets · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-127/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.
The projections expect Breece Hall to total 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Breece Hall's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 63.9% to 81.0%.
The New York Giants safeties profile as the 6th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 56.0% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.

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