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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Breece Hall to notch 4.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • When talking about air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the towering 99th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a superb 12.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Breece Hall's 44.0% Route% this year marks a noteworthy decrease in his pass attack workload over last year's 60.6% mark.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Breece Hall has accumulated significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
  • Breece Hall's skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.51 mark last season.

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